CNN
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of Economy When inflation A major problem after 3 weeks from. midterm parliamentary electionsA series of new polls released over the past few days are challenging the Democratic Party’s chances of retaining control of Congress.
The impression that the economy is bad and getting worse spreads, President Joe Biden And the situation in this country suggests the overall political mood of the country. Roe v. Wade case appealed by Supreme Court – may be tilted in favor of the Republican Party.
a CBS News/YouGov survey A survey released on Sunday found 65% of voters feel the economy is deteriorating and 68% think the Biden administration could be doing more to fight inflation. I’m here.and New York Times/Siena University Poll Sixty-four percent of voters announced on Monday said the U.S. was headed in the wrong direction, with the economy (26%) and inflation (18%) being the only problems, with double-digit percentages of voters It is listed as the most important problem we face. All other issues are below 8%. And 70% of registered voters say they are unhappy with the current state of affairs in the United States. AP-NORC Survey It comes out on Monday and includes a majority across parties.
A Times/Siena poll found 49% support for Republican congressional candidates and 45% support for Democrats among voters. A CBS/YouGov poll found that voter preference is likely to fall between 47% Republicans and 45% Democrats, also within the poll’s margin of error.
The new CNN Poll of Polls average shows the popular vote split evenly, with both Democratic and Republican candidates holding 46% support among voters in the new poll. , with just a 3-point tilt to Democrats on average. Most recently late September.
Three of the five polls included in the average report results for potential voters. Fourth, From Fox Newsshowing that 44% of registered voters are Democrats and 41% are Republicans.
A wide split in the popular vote is often a sign of a Republican victory in the House. Broadly speaking, voters’ preference for partisan candidates does not always directly translate to similar results in House seat shares. In several recent elections, Republicans have won more seats than the popular vote nationwide. Land readjustment.
Recent polls show Democratic momentum gained after the Supreme Court’s Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Agency ruling, which ended federal protections for abortion rights, has stalled as the broader focus on the economy. It suggests thata CNN poll released last week We found that 9 in 10 registered voters think the economy is important to their vote, and 72% rate abortion as important. Registered voters who believe the economy is very important to the vote trail Republicans by a wide margin in districts between 53% and 38%.
The same survey showed that 48% of voters supported Republican candidates across the highly competitive congressional districts that ultimately determine control of the House, while 43% of those groups supported Democrats. rice field. Registered voters in these districts are more likely than voters across the country to consider economic concerns very important in their voting decisions, and these voters split even sharper against Republican candidates. (56% vs. 30%).
Throughout the year, the momentum in the House campaign has shifted from a decidedly Republican-friendly environment to a Democratic-friendly one. seemed more competitiveand now seems to be tilted back to the republican partyThe national draw contest at current poll averages is weaker for Republicans than polls had suggested before Dobbs’ decision. consistently found to lead Democrats by a large margin. Democrats narrowed that gap sharply over the summer, leading to a slight numerical advantage in the popular vote average and most polls. But one of his polls, meeting CNN’s criteria for reporting at the time, found Democrats to have a significant lead among voters. None of the polls included in the current average show a clear leader between the two parties in the race for control of the House.
The CNN Poll of Polls is the average of five most recent national bipartisan surveys of registered or potential voters regarding general voting preferences within their own districts that meet CNN’s criteria. The polls included an NPR/Marist poll conducted Sept. 27-29, a CNN poll conducted Sept. 3-October 5, and a CBS News/Marist poll conducted Oct. 12-14. YouGov Poll, which includes results from the Fox News poll conducted Oct. 9-12. The New York Times/Siena College poll was conducted October 9-12.
